TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 7:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about future price direction, while spot prices represent current market valuations. This market's odds can diverge from spot expectations because traders are pricing in anticipated catalysts, sentiment shifts, and broader market conditions over the coming period. Comparing the implied probability in this market to your own view of upcoming events or technical levels can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in optimism or caution relative to current spot levels.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares representing each outcome, with the market price reflecting the collective probability estimate. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The odds you see displayed are derived directly from the order book and recent trades, meaning prices update continuously as new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts. This real-time pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects current expectations right up until the resolution deadline.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on verified price data from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether HYPE has moved up or down from its reference level at that specific time. Once the event passes and the final price is established, the market settles automatically, with winning positions paid out according to the outcome.
Major catalysts for this market include project announcements, regulatory developments affecting the crypto sector, shifts in broader market sentiment, and macroeconomic data releases. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger volatility. Trading volume spikes, social media momentum, and updates from the HYPE team or ecosystem partnerships may influence trader positioning. Monitoring on-chain metrics, exchange flows, and news coverage will help you anticipate potential price swings before the June 16 deadline.