TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 5:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about HYPE's directional move by June 12, 4AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot price represents the market's immediate valuation, prediction odds incorporate longer-term conviction and tail-risk pricing. Traders on Polymarket factor in volatility, upcoming catalysts, and macro conditions when pricing the outcome. Comparing the implied probability to your own fundamental view or to consensus analyst expectations can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to broader sentiment.
The HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that timestamp, the outcome is determined by whether HYPE has moved up or down relative to the specified threshold. Resolution is final once confirmed, and traders' positions settle based on the actual result. Until resolution, the market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust their positions as new information emerges. The exact resolution criteria and data source are defined in the market's terms, ensuring a clear and objective settlement.
Several catalysts could shift HYPE's price and thus the prediction market odds before June 12, 4AM ET. Major announcements from the HYPE team, regulatory developments affecting the crypto sector, or shifts in broader market sentiment could trigger sharp moves. Macroeconomic data, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, and competing project launches may also influence trader conviction. Social media momentum and exchange listing news are common short-term drivers. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can act as psychological anchors. Traders on Polymarket will continuously reprice the outcome as these signals emerge, so monitoring news flow and on-chain metrics is essential for predicting how odds will evolve.