TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 12, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about HYPE's directional move by June 12, 10AM ET, independent of current spot price. While spot price shows HYPE's value right now, the market odds embed expectations of volatility, news catalysts, and broader crypto sentiment over the coming period. Comparing the implied probability from Polymarket to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than traditional analysis suggests. This gap often signals where informed traders see opportunity.
On Polymarket, HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of the up or down outcome occurring at the specified time. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see is determined by order-book dynamics: as more traders buy the up outcome, its price rises and the down outcome price falls, and vice versa. The current odds reflect the marginal trader's conviction. Liquidity depth on Polymarket influences how easily you can enter or exit positions at favorable prices near the resolution date.
The HYPE Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET market resolves on Jun 12, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by whether HYPE has moved up or down relative to the specified threshold. Resolution is final once the market closes, and traders receive payouts based on which outcome occurred. Until that time, you can continue to trade your position, allowing you to lock in gains, cut losses, or adjust your exposure as new information emerges.
Several catalysts could shift HYPE's price and market odds before June 12. Major announcements from the HYPE team, regulatory news affecting the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, and shifts in market sentiment around altcoins all influence trader positioning. Macroeconomic events, exchange listings or delistings, and social media momentum can also trigger rapid repricing. On-chain metrics such as whale transactions or holder concentration changes may signal insider conviction. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate how the market odds on Polymarket might evolve.