TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds represent aggregated trader sentiment about HYPE's price direction, while spot price expectations reflect current market valuations and technical analysis. This market's odds can diverge from traditional price forecasts because prediction markets price in tail risks, sentiment shifts, and event-driven catalysts that spot markets may not fully capture. Comparing the two reveals whether traders expect HYPE to outperform or underperform relative to prevailing sentiment among analysts and on-chain observers.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying one outcome increases its cost while selling decreases it. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The odds displayed represent the probability implied by the current balance of capital wagered on each side. As traders place bets on whether HYPE moves up or down, the market price continuously adjusts to reflect new information and shifting conviction, ensuring prices remain responsive to real-time developments.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether HYPE's price has moved upward or downward relative to its starting point at the specified time. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for independent verification, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all participants.
Major catalysts include HYPE token announcements, regulatory developments affecting the broader crypto market, shifts in on-chain activity or holder concentration, and macroeconomic events impacting risk appetite. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can trigger algorithmic trading and cascade moves. Additionally, news from the HYPE team, partnerships, or competitive developments in the token's ecosystem may reshape trader expectations about near-term price direction, causing rapid repricing of this market.