TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 12:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders who profit or lose based on accuracy, creating strong incentives for honest price discovery. When this market shows balanced odds near 50–50, it suggests traders see roughly equal conviction for an up or down move. Spot price expectations from traditional technical analysis or sentiment surveys may diverge from prediction odds because market participants here have direct financial exposure and must commit capital. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional traders or retail sentiment is more bullish or bearish on the outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result hinges on whether HYPE's price at the specified time closes above or below its opening level for that trading window. Resolution occurs after sufficient time has passed for final price data to be published and validated, ensuring all traders have equal access to the same factual record before payouts are distributed.
Major catalysts include announcements from the HYPE team regarding product launches, partnerships, or tokenomics changes that could shift investor sentiment. Broader crypto market movements—especially Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility—often influence altcoin direction. Regulatory news, exchange listings, or social media momentum can trigger rapid repricing. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may attract algorithmic traders. Macroeconomic data releases or shifts in risk appetite across digital assets could also sway this market as traders reassess their conviction heading into the July 6 close.