TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 11:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on a specific outcome, often diverging from casual spot price forecasts because real money is at risk. In this market, the odds represent aggregated trader conviction about HYPE's directional move by the resolution date. Unlike informal polls or analyst commentary, prediction markets create financial incentives for accuracy, so odds tend to incorporate hard-to-quantify signals—sentiment shifts, on-chain activity, and macro crypto conditions—faster than traditional price expectations alone.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares of each outcome—HYPE Up or HYPE Down. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; as traders adjust their positions, the odds shift in real time. This continuous auction mechanism ensures that the displayed odds always represent the marginal trader's view, making the market responsive to breaking news and evolving conditions right up to resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether HYPE's price has moved up or down from its level at the specified time on July 6 at 10AM ET. Traders should monitor official token price feeds and exchange data as the deadline approaches to anticipate how the market will settle.
Major catalysts for this market include HYPE token announcements, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, regulatory developments affecting the token or its ecosystem, and macroeconomic events impacting risk appetite. On-chain metrics like trading volume and holder concentration can also signal momentum shifts. Additionally, any news tied to the project's partnerships, product launches, or competitive landscape may sway trader positioning. Watch social media, official channels, and exchange data closely for signals that could reshape the odds before resolution.