TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
HYPE Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET
kalshi
polymarket

Will HYPE/USDT close up or flat on July 2 at 5PM ET?

Volume:
$13,805

$66 or above

 - Kalshi

$66 or above - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$66 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,379
N/A
N/A
$515
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$65 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,558
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$64 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$911
N/A
N/A
$211
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$62 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$623
N/A
N/A
$358
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$61 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$376
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$60 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$396
N/A
N/A
$290
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$63 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$324
N/A
N/A
$198
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$58 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$30
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$59 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$57 or above

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$67 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,380
N/A
N/A
$463
Settled
No
kalshi

$68 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
$329
Settled
No
polymarket

HYPE Up or Down - July 2, 5PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$69 or above

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

$43 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$44 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$45 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$46 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$47 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$48 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$49 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$50 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$51 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$52 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$53 or above

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 41

Description

This event group tracks whether HYPE token price moves up or down on July 2, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Kalshi offers 40 binary markets at different price thresholds using CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI 60-second average, while Polymarket offers a single binary market based on Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour candle open vs. close comparison.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI 60-second average snapshot; Polymarket uses Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour candle open/close. Different data sources, time windows, and measurement methods create potential for conflicting outcomes.Hero tip: Monitor both CF Benchmarks RTI feed and Binance HYPE/USDT 1H candle independently. A price that satisfies Kalshi's threshold may not produce an UP candle on Binance, and vice versa. Confirm actual settlement data from both sources before disputing any resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 40 binary markets, each resolving YES if CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI 60-second simple average (before 5 PM EDT on Jul 2, 2026) exceeds a specific threshold ranging from $42.9999 to $81.9999. Key quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold]... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Single binary market resolving UP if Binance HYPE/USDT 1-hour candle close price >= open price for the candle beginning at July 2, 5 PM ET; otherwise DOWN. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Up if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' HYPE-Dollar Real Time Index (HYPEUSD_RTI) calculated from 60 seconds of data collected before 5 PM EDT on July 2, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price exceeds the stated criterion at exactly the specified time. While external sources like Google or Coinbase may provide reference prices, the official resolution uses only CF Benchmarks' RTI data. If data is incomplete or unavailable at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting the token, shifts in broader crypto sentiment, protocol upgrades, exchange listings or delistings, and macroeconomic data releases. Social media momentum and whale accumulation patterns often precede price moves, so tracking on-chain activity and community discourse can signal directional bias. Partnership news or security incidents would also reshape trader conviction. Monitoring this market's odds in real time helps you spot when new information is being priced in, giving early warning before spot price reacts.