TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on this market represent aggregated trader expectations about HYPE's price direction, which often diverge from spot price alone. While spot price reflects the current market rate, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, upcoming catalysts, and perceived probability of movement. Traders use both signals together: spot price shows where HYPE trades now, while market odds reveal what participants believe will happen by the resolution date. This dual perspective helps identify whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish momentum relative to current levels.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds for this market through an automated market maker mechanism, where buy and sell orders directly influence the probability displayed. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each trade moves the price incrementally, and the current odds reflect the last matched transaction and available liquidity. Participants can enter or exit positions at any time before Jul 2, 2026, with the market price converging toward true probability as more capital flows in. Liquidity depth and trading volume determine how easily prices move, so active markets tend to reflect consensus more efficiently.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once HYPE's price movement is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether HYPE trades up or down relative to its opening price at the specified time. Once the event occurs and data is finalized, the winning outcome is locked in and traders receive payouts accordingly. No further trading occurs after the resolution window closes.
Major catalysts for this market include HYPE token announcements, broader crypto market sentiment shifts, regulatory news, and macroeconomic events affecting risk appetite. Technical levels and support/resistance zones can trigger algorithmic trading and momentum shifts. Social media trends, exchange listings, or partnership news tied to HYPE may sway trader positioning. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price action often correlate with altcoin movements, so monitoring major crypto leaders provides context. Traders watch these signals to adjust their bets before Jul 2, 2026.