TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 2, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal how traders collectively expect HYPE to perform relative to its current spot price. When this market shows elevated odds for an up move, it signals broad trader confidence in upward momentum. Conversely, higher odds for a down move suggest traders anticipate downward pressure. These odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts or social media sentiment because they carry real financial stakes—traders put capital at risk, creating a powerful incentive for accuracy. Comparing this market's odds to your own price expectations can help identify whether the crowd is pricing in information you believe is overvalued or underappreciated.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker mechanism where buying shares in one outcome automatically adjusts the cost of the other. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the price you see reflects the probability implied by recent trading volume and order flow. As more traders buy up or sell off shares, the odds shift dynamically. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction, allowing you to enter or exit your position at any time before resolution.
This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by whether HYPE has moved up or down from its reference price at the specified time. The result will be verified against credible public sources to confirm which outcome occurred. Once the event is observable and confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Until that date, you can continue to trade your shares as new information emerges and market sentiment evolves.
Several catalysts could shift odds in this market before Jul 2, 2026. Major announcements from the HYPE team, partnerships, or product launches could trigger bullish repricing. Conversely, regulatory news, security concerns, or broader crypto market downturns could drive bearish sentiment. Macroeconomic shifts, changes in Bitcoin or Ethereum prices, and shifts in trader positioning on competing assets may also influence HYPE's expected direction. Social media momentum, exchange listings, and technical chart patterns often sway short-term trader behavior. Monitoring these signals and adjusting your position accordingly is key to capitalizing on this market's volatility.