TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 7:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot price expectations are based on current market conditions and technical analysis. This market aggregates the views of many participants with real money at stake, often surfacing consensus faster than traditional sentiment surveys. If odds diverge sharply from analyst forecasts or on-chain signals, that gap can signal either an opportunity or a warning that the crowd is pricing in information not yet reflected in casual expectations.
On Polymarket, traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the market price of those shares determines the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more capital flowing into one side, the higher its price moves, creating a continuous price discovery mechanism. Your potential payout depends on the final share price at resolution, so early positions at lower prices offer higher returns if your prediction proves correct.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the HYPE token price movement can be verified against credible public sources. The outcome will be determined by whether the token closed up or down relative to its opening price at that time. Traders should monitor official exchange data and announcements leading up to the deadline to stay informed on any developments that could influence the final result.
Major catalysts include announcements from the HYPE project team, regulatory news affecting the broader crypto market, macroeconomic shifts, and large trades or partnerships involving the token. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger momentum. Social media sentiment, exchange listings or delistings, and correlation with Bitcoin or Ethereum movements may sway trader positioning. Keep an eye on on-chain metrics and whale wallet activity for early signals of directional conviction.