TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 9:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively expect will happen, whereas spot prices reflect what the token is trading for right now. This market aggregates forward-looking bets on HYPE's direction, often incorporating analysis that spot prices alone may not capture. When odds diverge significantly from recent price momentum, it can signal that traders see a reversal or consolidation ahead. Comparing the two helps traders identify whether the market is pricing in a consensus move or if sentiment remains divided.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by buying and selling shares tied to each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the implied probability that outcome will occur, with the two outcomes always summing to 100 percent. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on supply and demand. This mechanism ensures the market continuously reprices itself as new information or sentiment emerges around HYPE's expected movement.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by whether HYPE has moved up or down from its opening price at that time. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once resolution is finalized. Until then, positions remain open and prices may shift as the deadline approaches and new data emerges.
Major catalysts include HYPE token announcements, regulatory developments affecting the broader crypto market, and shifts in sentiment around the project's fundamentals. Macroeconomic events, Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings, and changes in trading volume on major exchanges can all influence near-term directional bets. Social media momentum and updates from the development team may also sway trader conviction. As the July 10 deadline approaches, intraday volatility and last-minute positioning could create sharp price moves in this market.