TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
HYPE Up or Down - April 11, 5PM ET
Volume:
$2,679
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group tracks whether the HYPE token price moves up or down on April 11, 2026 at 5 PM ET. Polymarket uses a 1-hour candle comparison (open vs. close) from Binance HYPE/USDT futures, while Kalshi uses CF Benchmarks' UHYPEUSDRTI index with 37 separate price thresholds, each resolving independently to Yes if exceeded.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Two distinct market architectures: Polymarket is a binary directional outcome (Up/Down) based on Binance HYPE/USDT 1H candle open-close comparison, while Kalshi comprises 37 independent threshold-based Yes/No markets using CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI index. Data sources, resolution logic, and outcome structures are incompatible.Hero Tip:
Treat these as separate markets, not hedges. Polymarket bets on intraday direction; Kalshi bets on absolute price levels. Confirm your data source exposure (Binance vs. CF Benchmarks) and position sizing accordingly. Monitor both sources independently leading up to 5 PM ET on April 11, 2026.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Binary directional market. Resolves Up if HYPE/USDT 1H candle close >= open on Binance futures; otherwise Down. Single market, two outcomes. Source: Binance HYPE/USDT futures pair. Key Quote: 'The close and open displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized.'
- Kalshi: 37 independent threshold markets. Each resolves Yes if 60-second simple average of CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI before 5 PM EDT exceeds a specific level (ranging $20.9999 to $59.9999). Unmet thresholds resolve No. Source: CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI index. Key Quote: 'If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks UHYPEUSDRTI before 5 PM EDT is above [threshold] at 5 PM EDT on Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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