TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price range of the HYPE cryptocurrency at a specific moment, determining which of several possible price bands was active at 5pm EDT on September 11, 2026. The outcome depends solely on where the price fell within predefined intervals at that exact timestamp.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range: from $61.9999 or below up to $110 or above. If the calculated average falls within a given range, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same measurement methodology, with the official price determined by averaging 60 Real Time Index (RTI) price readings collected during the final minute before expiration. This approach ensures consistency across all outcomes, with CF Benchmarks' RTI serving as the definitive source regardless of other publicly available price feeds.
Prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective on future events, potentially offering a different outlook than traditional spot price expectations or analyst forecasts. This market, specifically, aggregates the beliefs of individuals trading on Kalshi regarding the price of HYPE. While spot prices reflect current market conditions, this market represents a forward-looking assessment. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sets, biases, or the ability of the market to incorporate new information more rapidly than traditional forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different price ranges for HYPE, and the prices of these contracts fluctuate based on supply and demand. As more traders believe HYPE will trade within a specific range, the price of contracts for that range increases. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the market participants, providing a real-time estimate of the probability distribution for the HYPE price on the specified date and time.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will settle based on the price of HYPE as recorded by a recognized and publicly available source at 5:00 PM EDT on September 11, 2026. The price at that moment will determine which price range contract pays out, and the payout amount will be determined by the contract's initial price. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event.
Several factors could significantly impact the HYPE price market. Major developments in the broader cryptocurrency market, such as regulatory changes or technological breakthroughs, could influence investor sentiment. News regarding the HYPE project itself, including partnerships, product launches, or security vulnerabilities, would likely cause price fluctuations. Additionally, macroeconomic events like interest rate changes or shifts in global economic conditions could affect risk appetite and impact the demand for cryptocurrencies like HYPE, thereby shifting the odds in this market.