TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A token price index will be tracked on June 9, 2026 at 5 PM EDT, with measurement based on a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' real-time data. This event captures which specific price range the index falls within, spanning from below $42 to above $80.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' collective forecast of HYPE's price range at resolution, which often diverges from current spot prices on crypto exchanges. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets embed longer-term expectations and tail-risk scenarios over the 18-month horizon. Comparing Kalshi odds to analyst price targets and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish adoption, regulatory headwinds, or macro volatility. Significant gaps between prediction odds and consensus analyst views may signal mispricing opportunities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, HYPE price range outcomes are priced as binary or multi-outcome contracts, with each range bracket assigned a probability-weighted price between 0 and 100 cents. Traders buy or sell shares in each price range outcome, and the contract price reflects the market's real-time belief in that outcome's likelihood. Kalshi's order book aggregates limit orders and market orders, establishing the marginal price at which the next trade will execute. As new information about HYPE fundamentals or crypto market conditions emerges, prices adjust to reflect updated consensus.
The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by HYPE's actual price at the specified time. Resolution occurs after the market closes and the reference price is finalized. Traders holding shares in the correct price range outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the reference price is confirmed, ensuring transparent and timely settlement for all participants.
Major catalysts for HYPE price movement include product launches, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and shifts in broader crypto market sentiment. Technical developments, partnership announcements, or changes in tokenomics could drive bullish repricing. Conversely, security incidents, regulatory crackdowns, or bear-market conditions could push HYPE lower. On-chain metrics such as active addresses, transaction volume, and whale accumulation patterns often precede price moves. Monitoring these signals alongside prediction market odds can help traders anticipate range shifts before they occur.