TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 4, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A token price index will be measured across defined dollar price bands over a one-minute interval at 5 PM EDT on June 4, 2026.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' collective belief about HYPE's price range, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and volatility assumptions. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, prediction markets price in expected moves over the full period until Jun 4, 2026. Comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral scenarios relative to consensus expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the HYPE price range outcome is priced as binary or multiple-choice contracts where each price bracket trades independently. Traders buy or sell shares at fractional prices between 0 and 1, with payouts tied to whether HYPE settles within the specified range at Jun 4, 2026. The market price of each bracket reflects the cumulative belief of Kalshi traders; higher prices indicate stronger conviction that HYPE will land in that range. Volume and bid-ask spreads on Kalshi show liquidity and confidence in each outcome.
The market resolves at Jun 4, 2026. Resolution is determined by HYPE's official price at that exact moment, measured against the predefined price brackets offered in the market. The outcome is binary or categorical depending on which range HYPE closes within. Once the resolution timestamp passes and the price is confirmed, the market settles and winning shares pay out according to the contract terms.
Major catalysts for HYPE include protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, macroeconomic shifts affecting crypto sentiment, and shifts in competing token narratives. On-chain metrics such as transaction volume, holder concentration, and staking activity can signal conviction or weakness. Market-wide events like Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility often cascade to altcoins. Social sentiment, developer activity, and partnership news also influence trader expectations. Monitoring these signals helps identify when odds on Kalshi may shift, creating trading opportunities before Jun 4, 2026.