TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market divides HYPE's possible price range on June 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific bands, from below $44 up to $82 and above. Traders predict which price range HYPE will occupy at expiration. The official price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD Real-Time Index data.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT on June 27, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, and the market resolves Yes for whichever range contains the final averaged price. The price data comes exclusively from CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index, with 60 individual prices collected in the final minute before expiration and averaged to produce the official settlement value.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where HYPE will settle, often diverging from current spot prices because they embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk hedging. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in expected volatility, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic shifts over the coming months. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in more or less upside than consensus expects. Persistent gaps between the two often signal either mispricing or genuine disagreement about future catalysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set bids and asks for each HYPE price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts these orders into implied probabilities displayed as percentages for every bracket. Tighter spreads between bid and ask indicate higher liquidity and trader confidence; wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower participation. As new information emerges—exchange listings, protocol updates, or broader crypto sentiment shifts—traders adjust their positions, and the odds shift accordingly to reflect the new equilibrium.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the HYPE token's price will be verified against credible public sources to determine which price range bracket it occupies. The outcome is final once the event is confirmed through established market data providers and exchanges. Traders holding positions in the winning range receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution process is deterministic and based on observable, verifiable price data at the specified moment.
Major catalysts include HYPE token listings or delistings on top exchanges, regulatory announcements affecting the broader crypto market, shifts in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, and any protocol or governance developments specific to the HYPE project. Macroeconomic events—Federal Reserve policy, inflation data, or risk-on/risk-off sentiment swings—can also drive significant repricing. Social media momentum, whale accumulation patterns visible on-chain, and competitive launches in the same category all influence trader positioning. Monitoring these signals helps you anticipate which price ranges are gaining or losing conviction as the resolution date approaches.