TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the possible HYPE price range into specific bands on June 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders can bet on which price range HYPE will fall into, with each outcome representing a distinct price interval. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' official HYPE-Dollar Real Time Index.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI for the 60 seconds immediately prior to 5 PM EDT on June 24, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for accurate price determination.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where HYPE will actually trade, whereas spot price represents the current market rate. This market's odds can diverge from today's price because traders are pricing in expected volatility, news catalysts, and broader crypto market movements over the coming months. When odds shift significantly from spot, it often signals that informed participants expect material price movement in one direction. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in upside, downside, or stability relative to present levels. Monitoring this gap helps identify whether consensus leans bullish or bearish on HYPE's near-term trajectory.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different HYPE price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome represents a specific price band, and the cost of a share reflects the probability traders assign to that range occurring by the settlement date. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust, moving the implied odds. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, with all trades executed at posted prices. This mechanism incentivizes accurate forecasting because traders profit when their price predictions prove correct.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying HYPE's actual price against credible public sources. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, the market settles based on which price range the token traded within at that moment. All open positions are then paid out according to the outcome. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring that traders' profits and losses reflect the accuracy of their forecasts. Until that time, positions remain open and can be traded or closed at any point.
Major catalysts for HYPE price movement include regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, shifts in broader Bitcoin or Ethereum sentiment, project-specific news or partnerships, and macroeconomic events influencing risk appetite. Technical developments, exchange listings, or changes in token supply can also trigger significant repricing. Market-wide liquidity events or volatility spikes often cause sharp moves in crypto prediction odds. Social media momentum and influencer commentary may shift retail trader positioning. Additionally, competing projects' announcements or industry-wide crackdowns can redirect capital flows. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate when this market's odds may diverge from current consensus.