TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event predicts which price range HYPE will fall into on June 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT. The price will be determined by averaging 60 seconds of real-time data from CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD Real-Time Index at the expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, with the market resolving Yes to the outcome whose range contains the final averaged price. Price ranges span from below $48.00 through $86 and above, with each range covering approximately $1 increments. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index, ensuring standardized and reliable price determination across all range-based outcomes.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, whereas spot price expectations are based on current market valuations and analyst forecasts. This market aggregates trader conviction about where HYPE will trade at a defined future moment, which may diverge from today's spot price or consensus analyst estimates. The odds embedded in this market often incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk pricing that spot markets alone do not capture. Comparing the two can reveal whether traders expect significant price movement or stability ahead.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders compete to set the odds, and the market price reflects the equilibrium between supply and demand at any given moment. Each price range outcome has its own contract, and the sum of all outcome probabilities should approximate 100 percent. This continuous pricing model allows participants to enter and exit positions throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying the actual HYPE price against credible public sources. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, the winning outcome is paid out to holders of the correct range contract. All other outcomes expire worthless. The resolution process is final once the price is established and verified from reliable market data.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting HYPE or the broader crypto sector, significant protocol upgrades or technical developments, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and large institutional trades or partnerships. Market sentiment around Bitcoin and Ethereum often influences altcoin valuations, so movements in those assets can ripple through this contract. Unexpected security incidents, exchange listings or delistings, and shifts in developer activity or community engagement can also trigger repricing. Traders monitor these signals to adjust their positions ahead of the June 23 settlement date.