TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the HYPE price range into specific bands on June 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders can bet on which price range HYPE will fall within, using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index as the pricing source.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI for the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 21, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price band, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds often diverge from current spot prices because they embed forward-looking expectations about volatility, adoption, and macroeconomic conditions. While the live HYPE price today reflects immediate supply and demand, this market's odds represent where traders collectively expect the asset to trade at a defined future date. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in significant upside, downside, or stability. Analysts and on-chain observers may publish separate price forecasts; prediction odds typically incorporate a broader range of scenarios and risk premiums.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different HYPE price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome represents a specific price band, and the cost of a share reflects the probability traders assign to that range occurring by the settlement date. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust, moving the implied odds in real time. The tighter the spread between buy and sell prices, the more confident the market consensus.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, at which point the HYPE price will be verified against credible public sources to determine which range outcome occurred. The resolution process confirms the actual price at that specific moment and pays out shares accordingly. Traders holding positions in the correct range receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The outcome is determined solely by where HYPE trades at settlement, independent of any intermediate price movements.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and project-specific developments around HYPE's ecosystem or tokenomics. Significant Bitcoin or Ethereum moves often correlate with altcoin volatility, so broader crypto sentiment matters. Exchange listings, partnerships, or protocol upgrades could reshape trader expectations about the asset's trajectory. Market-moving news typically triggers rapid repricing as participants adjust their probability estimates, so monitoring crypto news and on-chain metrics helps anticipate shifts in this market's odds.