TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the HYPE price range into specific bands on June 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT, allowing participants to bet on which price range HYPE will fall within using CF Benchmarks' real-time data.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 consecutive CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI prices collected in the 60 seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range; the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching the calculated average price. If data is unavailable or incomplete at the expiration time, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index aggregates pricing from major exchanges to provide a standardized reference price.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where HYPE will actually trade, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and event risk. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in expectations over a longer horizon, allowing traders to express views on price movement and volatility. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in optimism or caution relative to consensus.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where buyers and sellers set the odds for each price bracket outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform converts these bids and asks into implied probabilities, displayed as percentages for each range. Traders can enter limit or market orders to position on their expected HYPE price at the resolution time, with the tightest bid-ask spread reflecting the most liquid outcomes.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once HYPE's price is verifiable from credible public sources at that moment. The winning bracket is determined by where HYPE trades in the specified time window, measured against established price feeds. Once the event occurs and data is finalized, the market settles to the corresponding outcome and traders receive payouts based on their positions.
Major catalysts for this market include HYPE token announcements, regulatory developments affecting the broader crypto market, macroeconomic shifts, and shifts in on-chain activity or holder sentiment. Exchange listings, partnership news, or changes to tokenomics could drive significant repricing. Broader crypto volatility, Bitcoin or Ethereum moves, and shifts in risk appetite across digital assets also influence where traders expect HYPE to settle, making this market sensitive to both project-specific and systemic events.