TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 13, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the HYPE cryptocurrency price into specific ranges on June 13, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Participants predict which price band HYPE will fall within, with resolution based on CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index data collected at expiration.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI over 60 seconds prior to 5 PM EDT on June 13, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the averaged price falls. The official and final value is calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration. Cryptocurrency price data varies by source; CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for this market.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect aggregated trader conviction about where HYPE will actually trade, whereas spot price expectations from analysts or traditional forecasts may rely on technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or macro sentiment. Markets often price in tail risks and uncertainty that casual price targets miss. If prediction odds show a narrow band as most likely, that suggests traders expect relatively stable conditions; wider probability distributions signal anticipated volatility or disagreement. Comparing the market's consensus range to published analyst price targets can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish than mainstream forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each price band has its own contract, and the cost of a share reflects the market's implied probability that HYPE will settle in that range. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, bid-ask spreads tighten or widen, and share prices adjust accordingly. The most heavily traded bands typically show the tightest spreads and deepest liquidity, making them easier to enter and exit.
This market resolves around Jun 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once HYPE's spot price at that moment is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders holding shares in the correct price range receive their payout, while positions in other bands expire worthless. The resolution hinges on a single snapshot of HYPE's price at the specified time, making timing and data accuracy critical. Once the event passes and the price is locked in, the market settles automatically according to which range the final price fell into.
Major catalysts for HYPE price movement include regulatory announcements affecting the crypto sector, shifts in broader market sentiment toward digital assets, project-specific developments or partnerships, macroeconomic policy changes, and Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility that often correlates with altcoins. Exchange listings, token unlocks, or governance votes could also drive sharp repricing. On-chain metrics such as holder concentration, trading volume, or developer activity may signal strength or weakness. Traders monitoring this market typically watch crypto news outlets, social sentiment, and technical chart patterns for early signals of directional conviction.