TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A cryptocurrency asset's exchange rate against the dollar will be measured on June 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT using a 60-second average price. This event divides the possible price range into specific price bands to identify which range the rate falls within.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' collective belief about HYPE's price range at resolution, often diverging from current spot prices due to time horizon and volatility assumptions. While spot markets price HYPE in real time, the prediction market embeds expectations about price movement over the next 18+ months, including potential regulatory shifts, adoption catalysts, and macroeconomic factors. Comparing prediction odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus views.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the HYPE price range outcome is priced as binary or multi-outcome contracts where each price bracket trades independently. Traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the implied probability derived from the current market price. Kalshi's order book aggregates buy and sell interest, and the mid-market price reflects the equilibrium between bulls and bears on that specific price range. Liquidity and spreads vary depending on trading volume and time to resolution.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by HYPE's actual price at the specified time and date. The correct price range bracket is confirmed, and all shares in the winning outcome are paid out at full value while losing shares expire worthless. Traders should monitor official price feeds and exchange data as the resolution time approaches to understand which bracket will be deemed correct.
Major catalysts for HYPE price movement include regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, shifts in institutional adoption, macroeconomic policy changes, and competitive developments in the blockchain ecosystem. Technical breakthroughs, security incidents, or changes in network activity could also influence trader sentiment. Broader crypto market rallies or downturns often correlate with HYPE price swings. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, partnership announcements, and market sentiment will help you anticipate how these signals might shift the predicted price range over the coming months.