TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the possible HYPE price range into specific bands on July 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders can bet on which price range HYPE will fall within at that exact moment, with prices determined from CF Benchmarks' official index.
Resolution is based on the simple average of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI over 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on July 9, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the average price falls. If data is incomplete or unavailable at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for HYPE.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future price ranges and often diverge from current spot prices because they embed expectations about volatility, adoption catalysts, and macroeconomic shifts. While spot prices show what HYPE trades for right now, this market's odds reveal what informed participants believe is most likely by the resolution date. Comparing the two can highlight whether the market is pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or sideways consolidation relative to today's valuation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the probability traders assign to HYPE landing in that range by resolution. As new information surfaces—regulatory news, technical developments, or broader crypto sentiment shifts—the bid-ask spreads and share prices adjust dynamically, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at market rates throughout the trading window.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once HYPE's price is verifiable from credible public sources at that moment. The winning range is determined by where the asset trades during the specified resolution window. Traders holding shares in the correct price bracket receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution timing is fixed, ensuring all participants know the exact cutoff for price verification.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting HYPE or the broader crypto sector, platform upgrades or technical milestones, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and shifts in institutional or retail trading volume. Positive developments—partnerships, exchange listings, or protocol improvements—typically push odds toward higher price ranges, while negative news or market-wide downturns can shift sentiment lower. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and sentiment across crypto communities helps traders anticipate directional moves before they're fully priced in.