TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines which price range HYPE will fall into on July 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT, with ranges spanning from below $35 up to above $83, using CF Benchmarks' real-time pricing methodology.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI collected in the 60 seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 24, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range; the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching the final averaged price. If no data is available or the data is incomplete at the expiration time, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future price ranges and often diverge from current spot prices because they embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums. While spot exchanges show today's price, this market captures what a distributed crowd believes HYPE will reach by a specific future date. Prediction odds tend to be more conservative than extrapolations of recent momentum, since traders are risking capital on a defined outcome. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in mean reversion, continued appreciation, or elevated volatility.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. Each share represents a claim on a specific HYPE price band, and the bid-ask spread reflects real-time supply and demand. As new information emerges, traders adjust their positions, moving prices up or down. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery, and all trades settle according to the verified closing price at the designated time.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, when the HYPE price at that specific moment is recorded and verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket contains the actual spot price, and positions settle accordingly. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution is final once the price is confirmed and the market is officially closed.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, shifts in macroeconomic conditions, platform-specific developments for HYPE, and broader sentiment swings in digital assets. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on spot exchanges can trigger rapid repricing as traders adjust their range forecasts. Liquidity events, large institutional trades, or changes in correlation with Bitcoin and Ethereum also influence expectations. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and mainstream media coverage helps traders anticipate directional moves before they're reflected in this market's odds.