TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides the Hyperliquid (HYPE) price range into specific bands on July 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT, allowing traders to bet on which price range HYPE will fall within at that time.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI calculated from 60 seconds of data immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on July 17, 2026. The price is divided into consecutive $1 ranges, spanning from below $44 to above $92. Exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on which range contains the averaged price at the specified time. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. This consistent $1 band structure provides clear price segmentation while maintaining granularity across the full expected price distribution for HYPE.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot price shows HYPE's value right now, this market prices in expectations about volatility, adoption catalysts, and broader crypto market conditions between now and the resolution date. Traders use both data sources to form views: spot price anchors near-term technicals, while prediction odds reveal longer-term conviction about where the asset will settle.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share represents a claim on one outcome, and the price of that share reflects the platform's aggregate belief in that range's probability. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the odds to move in real time. The tighter the spread between buy and sell prices, the more confident the market consensus.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, when HYPE's price at that specific moment becomes verifiable. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket HYPE falls into at settlement, confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the data is confirmed, ensuring all participants see the same final result simultaneously.
Major crypto market movements, regulatory announcements, and HYPE-specific developments—such as protocol upgrades, partnership news, or shifts in broader digital asset sentiment—could significantly shift odds. Macroeconomic events, Federal Reserve policy changes, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price swings often cascade into altcoin markets. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on the spot market can also trigger repricing. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and exchange inflows to anticipate directional moves before they occur, adjusting positions accordingly as new information surfaces.