TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of the HYPE cryptocurrency at a specific moment, using a precise measurement method to determine the outcome. The focus is on whether the price falls within certain dollar ranges at a set time, providing a clear, time-bound assessment of market value.
The event determines the outcome based on the simple average price of HYPEUSD_RTI over the sixty seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, with outcomes resolving to 'Yes' if the average price falls within that range at the specified time. The official price is calculated using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index (RTI), where the final value is derived from averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. All markets share this methodology, ensuring consistency across range-based assessments. Sources like Google or Coinbase may not reflect the exact data used, as the RTI provides the authoritative measurement for resolution.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment about HYPE's future price range, often diverging from current spot price expectations. While spot prices show immediate market conditions, this market incorporates expectations for upcoming events, news, and broader crypto trends by Aug 21, 2026. Traders may price in volatility or catalysts not yet reflected in live trading. Comparisons to analyst forecasts or poll data can reveal gaps between short-term sentiment and longer-term predictions, helping identify potential shifts in market dynamics before the resolution date.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts, with prices adjusting in real time based on volume and open interest. The current top outcome shows the range most traders expect, while the probability distribution spreads reflect uncertainty about exact price boundaries. Volume of $3,075 and 24-hour volume of $2,965 indicate liquidity and interest levels, shaping how responsive prices are to new information or shifts in broader crypto market sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price range will be determined by checking authoritative, widely accepted sources that confirm HYPE’s exact trading price at the specified time, ensuring an objective and transparent close.
Several signals could influence this market before Aug 21, 2026. Major crypto market movements, regulatory announcements, or developments from HYPE’s team could shift trader expectations quickly. Broader macroeconomic factors, sector-wide adoption news, or security incidents in the DeFi space may also affect pricing. As Aug 21, 2026 approaches, updated technical analysis, influencer sentiment, or trading volume spikes often drive sharper adjustments in this market’s odds, reflecting crystallized expectations about HYPE’s price range at that moment.