TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the performance of the HYPE cryptocurrency on a specific date, resolving based on its price relative to various thresholds. Each market evaluates whether the price exceeds a particular level at a set time, using a standardized measurement method to ensure consistency.
All markets share a common resolution framework centered on the HYPE cryptocurrency's price at 5 PM EDT on September 25, 2026. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging incrementally from $63 to $112 or above. Resolution depends on whether the simple average of sixty Real Time Index (RTI) price readings from CF Benchmarks, collected in the final minute before 5 PM EDT, exceeds the respective threshold. The RTI serves as the official price source, with the average of these sixty readings constituting the final determinant. All markets follow this structure, differing only in their specific price thresholds, which define the 'Yes' outcome for each respective market.
Comparing prediction market odds to spot price expectations reveals how traders perceive the likelihood of various price levels for HYPE. If the market price suggests a high probability of a significant price increase, it indicates traders believe the current spot price underestimates the future value. Conversely, a market price implying a lower future price suggests traders anticipate a correction or stagnation. This market provides a forward-looking assessment, incorporating information not immediately reflected in the spot price, such as anticipated news or regulatory changes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing different price levels for HYPE. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that price occurring at the specified time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and traders update their expectations, creating a real-time forecast of the HYPE price. This mechanism allows for efficient price discovery based on the aggregated knowledge of market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of HYPE at 5:00 PM EDT on September 25, 2026, as reported by a reputable financial data provider, will determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome based on publicly available data.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major news regarding the HYPE project, such as partnerships, technological breakthroughs, or regulatory announcements, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, including Bitcoin's performance and overall investor sentiment, could also exert influence. Unexpected macroeconomic events or shifts in global financial conditions could impact risk appetite and affect the demand for HYPE. Additionally, significant trading volume or the entry of large players into this market could drive price movements.