TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether HYPE/USD will trade above various price thresholds on June 28, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. Participants predict price levels ranging from $43 to $82, with each outcome representing a minimum price target. Resolution uses CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index for HYPE.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI over the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 28, 2026. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the average price exceeds the specified threshold. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The official and final value is calculated as the average of 60 RTI prices collected at the last minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about future prices, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot markets price HYPE based on immediate supply and demand, this market prices the token's value at a future date, allowing traders to embed their expectations about volatility, adoption, regulatory shifts, and broader crypto market moves. Prediction odds tend to smooth out short-term noise and can signal whether the crowd expects appreciation or depreciation over the interval. Comparing the implied price from market odds to today's spot price reveals the net bullish or bearish lean embedded in trader positioning.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks on binary outcomes—typically YES (price above threshold) or NO (price below threshold). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, and the midpoint or last-traded price reflects the consensus forecast. Kalshi's pricing model incentivizes accurate predictions by allowing traders to profit from correctly anticipating the outcome, which drives prices toward true probabilities. As new information emerges, traders adjust positions, causing prices to shift and revealing updated market expectations for HYPE's value on the settlement date.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by comparing HYPE's actual price to the threshold specified in the market terms. The result is verified against credible public sources, such as major exchange data or trusted price feeds, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement. Once the price is established and confirmed, the market locks and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning side. Traders should monitor the exact settlement time and price source outlined in the market rules to understand how their positions will be adjudicated.
Major catalysts for HYPE price movement include project announcements, token unlock schedules, regulatory developments affecting crypto broadly, shifts in broader market sentiment, and macroeconomic events. Exchange listings or delistings, partnerships, or technical milestones can drive sudden repricing. Traders also react to competitor launches, changes in on-chain metrics like transaction volume or holder concentration, and sentiment shifts on social media or in crypto news. Geopolitical or monetary policy shifts affecting risk appetite may also influence the market. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate price moves and adjust their positions accordingly before the settlement date arrives.