TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of HYPE on June 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' Real Time Index. The market resolves based on whether HYPE's price exceeds various threshold levels.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks HYPEUSD_RTI for the 60 seconds immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on June 21, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold, with resolution occurring only if the averaged price exceeds the designated strike level. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data aggregated from major cryptocurrency exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about future price movement, often diverging from current spot prices on exchanges. While spot price represents the price at which HYPE trades right now, this market captures what participants collectively expect the token to be worth at a future date. These two signals can differ significantly because traders may anticipate upcoming catalysts, regulatory shifts, or market cycles that haven't yet moved the current price. Comparing prediction odds to spot price helps identify whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish sentiment relative to today's valuation, offering insight into forward-looking expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects a discrete price range or point estimate, and the market price of each outcome adjusts based on supply and demand. Traders profit by correctly predicting where HYPE will settle, with payouts determined by which outcome resolves true. The platform's pricing model incentivizes accurate forecasting, as traders compete to identify mispricings and arbitrage opportunities. Real-time price discovery happens organically as participants update their positions based on new information.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed based on verifiable public data about HYPE's price at that specific time. Once the event occurs and sufficient time has passed for credible reporting, the platform determines which outcome bracket or price level is correct. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process prioritizes accuracy and transparency, drawing on established price feeds and public records to eliminate ambiguity.
Several catalysts could shift trader expectations for HYPE's price by the resolution date. Major announcements from the project team, partnerships, or product launches often trigger sharp repricing. Broader crypto market movements, Bitcoin or Ethereum volatility, and shifts in regulatory sentiment can also influence altcoin valuations significantly. Macroeconomic data, central bank policy changes, and sentiment swings in risk appetite affect the entire digital asset class. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on the chart may attract momentum traders. Social media trends, exchange listings, or integration announcements specific to HYPE could also move this market as traders reassess the token's near-term prospects.