TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific cryptocurrency, HYPE, by checking whether its price exceeds various thresholds at a set time. The evaluation occurs on July 31, 2026, at 5 PM EDT, using a standardized method to ensure consistency and accuracy in price determination.
The event evaluates whether the price of HYPE exceeds a series of ascending thresholds at 5 PM EDT on July 31, 2026. Each threshold corresponds to a separate market outcome, resolving to 'Yes' if met and 'No' otherwise. The price determination uses the simple average of sixty Real Time Index (RTI) price readings collected by CF Benchmarks in the minute before 5 PM EDT. These readings are averaged to produce the official closing price, ensuring an objective and standardized measurement. All markets share this methodology, with each outcome dependent on whether the calculated average exceeds its specific threshold. The use of CF Benchmarks' RTI ensures consistency across all thresholds, and participants are advised that consumer-facing sources like Google or Coinbase may show different values.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through their bids and offers, creating a market-driven indicator of expected outcomes. The current chance reflected is derived from the most recent trading activity, adjusting constantly as new information emerges and participants place bets. This mechanism allows for a dynamic, crowd-sourced forecast of where HYPE might trade by the resolution date.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. At that point, the final price of HYPE will be compared against the market’s settled value, determining which side wins based on the rules defined for this market.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major announcements from the project team, regulatory updates, trading volume spikes, or broader crypto market moves may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant technical developments or partnerships could cause rapid repricing as participants adjust their expectations for HYPE’s price by Jul 31, 2026.