TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the HYPE cryptocurrency will reach or exceed various price thresholds on July 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT, with strike prices ranging from $34 to $83.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI collected in the 60 seconds immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 24, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold; if the average price meets or exceeds that threshold, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If no data is available or the data is incomplete at the expiration time, affected outcomes resolve to No. The CF Benchmarks Real-Time Index provides continuous pricing data for major cryptocurrencies.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about where an asset will trade at a given moment, often diverging from current spot prices due to time decay, volatility expectations, and sentiment shifts. While spot markets price the asset today, this market embeds forward-looking expectations specific to Jul 24, 2026. Comparing the two reveals whether traders expect appreciation, depreciation, or stability over the interval. Prediction markets can serve as a contrarian signal when they diverge sharply from analyst consensus or conventional price forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out based on where the asset settles relative to the specified price levels at resolution. The bid-ask spread and trading volume directly influence how efficiently prices adjust to new information. Traders profit by accurately predicting the outcome, creating strong incentives for informed participation and price discovery.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price of the asset at that specific time and date determines which outcome occurs. Resolution is straightforward and objective, removing ambiguity about how winnings are calculated. Traders should monitor the approach to the deadline to ensure they have positioned appropriately before the market closes.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting cryptocurrency markets, macroeconomic data releases, shifts in institutional adoption, technological developments within the HYPE ecosystem, and broader sentiment swings in digital assets. Exchange listings, partnership news, or security incidents can trigger sharp repricing. Correlation with Bitcoin and Ethereum often influences altcoin price action. Traders should track on-chain metrics, developer activity, and social sentiment as leading indicators of potential directional moves before Jul 24, 2026.