TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Hyperliquid (HYPE) will reach specific price thresholds on July 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT, using CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index data.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of the CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI calculated from 60 seconds of data immediately preceding 5 PM EDT on July 17, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price level, with resolution to Yes if the averaged price exceeds the stated threshold at exactly the specified time. Outcomes are structured in $1 increments starting from $43 and extending to $92 and above. If data is unavailable or incomplete at expiration, affected outcomes resolve to No. This threshold-based structure enables traders to take positions on HYPE reaching various price levels throughout the expected trading range.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to stake on future outcomes, often diverging from current spot prices because they embed forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk premiums. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates beliefs about where the token will settle at a defined future moment. Comparing the two reveals whether traders expect upward momentum, consolidation, or downside pressure relative to today's level.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out based on where the token closes at the specified time, and the current bid-ask spread reflects real-time disagreement about the most likely price range. Tighter spreads indicate higher confidence; wider spreads signal uncertainty among participants.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final price will be locked in at that moment, and all positions settle according to which outcome bracket the token occupies. Traders should monitor the countdown and any relevant announcements as the resolution date approaches.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements, shifts in broader crypto market sentiment, protocol updates or governance decisions affecting HYPE, macroeconomic data impacting risk appetite, and large on-chain transactions or exchange flows. Technical levels and support or resistance zones can also trigger momentum shifts. Traders often react to news cycles, competitor developments, and changes in trading volume or whale positioning, all of which can rapidly reprrice expectations in this market.