TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific cryptocurrency, HYPE, by checking whether its price exceeds various thresholds at a set time. The evaluation occurs on August 21, 2026, at 5 PM EDT, using a precise measurement method to determine the outcome.
The event evaluates whether the simple average of the sixty-second Real Time Index (RTI) prices of HYPEUSD from CF Benchmarks, measured in the minute before 5 PM EDT on August 21, 2026, exceeds specified threshold values for each market. Each market corresponds to a distinct price threshold, ranging from $30.9999 to $79.9999. If the calculated average exceeds the respective threshold, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is derived from averaging 60 RTI data points collected during the final minute before expiration, ensuring precision and standardization across all thresholds. All markets share the same data source and methodology, with the outcome for each determined by its unique threshold.
Compared to traditional spot price forecasts from analysts or polls, this market reflects a decentralized consensus driven by trader activity on Kalshi. While surveys might highlight broader sentiment, this market incorporates real-money bets, often showing sharper or more nuanced positioning based on recent news, exchange data, and investor behavior.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current odds reflecting the aggregated expectations of all participants. The market price adjusts dynamically based on order flow, news events, and shifts in trader confidence, offering a live barometer of where the crowd sees the short_topic heading.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will look to official exchange data and widely recognized sources to validate the final price, ensuring an objective and transparent settlement process.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves on Aug 21, 2026. Major announcements from the project team, regulatory updates affecting the token, and broader market trends in the crypto space may all influence trader sentiment. Large trades or changes in trading volume on Kalshi can also cause rapid price movements, reflecting new information or shifts in market confidence.