TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of a specific cryptocurrency, HYPE, by measuring its price against various thresholds at a set time. The outcome depends on whether the price meets or exceeds designated levels, providing insight into potential valuation milestones.
The event evaluates multiple price thresholds for the cryptocurrency HYPE, all assessed at the same moment: 5 PM EDT on August 14, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct outcome, resolving to 'Yes' if the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' HYPEUSD_RTI immediately before 5 PM EDT exceeds the specified value. The official price is derived from the Real Time Index (RTI) provided by CF Benchmarks, with the final value determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration. While external sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, they are not authoritative for this event. All markets share identical data collection and calculation methodologies, ensuring consistency across threshold assessments.
Compared to typical spot price expectations from analysts or polls, this market’s odds reflect a decentralized view of where participants believe the price will land. While traditional forecasts may lean on technical indicators or macro trends, this market incorporates real-time trader sentiment and positions, often showing a different bias or confidence level.
On Kalshi, this market uses a continuous double auction where traders submit bids and asks to determine the current price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The probability reflects aggregated trader sentiment and positions, adjusted for liquidity and open interest. Market depth and recent trades influence the displayed odds, allowing participants to express their expectations about the HYPE price movement by Aug 14, 2026.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the price is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will see the final settlement reflect the actual price at the specified time, closing all positions based on that snapshot.
Several factors may impact this market before Aug 14, 2026. Major cryptocurrency news, including regulatory announcements or technological upgrades related to HYPE, could shift trader sentiment. Broader market trends in the crypto space, such as changes in investor risk appetite or macroeconomic indicators, may also influence pricing. Additionally, significant trading volume spikes or large orders on Kalshi can affect short-term price movements.