TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of the Hulu app in terms of download numbers for August 2026. It evaluates whether the year-over-year download index exceeds specific thresholds, reflecting growth compared to the same month in the previous year. The outcome depends on reported data from a third-party source.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for Hulu app downloads in August 2026, each with a corresponding 'Yes' outcome if the Carbon Arc index exceeds the specified value. All markets rely on the first reported value from Carbon Arc for determination, with any subsequent corrections or revisions disregarded once the market is settled. The index measures year-over-year performance, where a value above 100 signifies growth relative to the same month in the prior year. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Hulu, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The structure ensures clarity and consistency across all threshold-based markets by unifying the data source, correction policy, and disclaimers into a single cohesive framework.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on officially reported app download statistics for August, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Key signals that could shift this market include major product announcements, changes in Hulu’s subscription pricing, viral marketing campaigns, or unexpected competition from rival streaming services. Any data pointing to shifts in user acquisition or retention rates — such as app store rankings or social media buzz — may also cause price fluctuations before the final resolution on Kalshi.