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How much will the Steam Machine cost?
kalshi

How much will the Steam Machine cost?

Volume:
$241,582

At least $900

 - Kalshi

At least $900 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 23, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 2:07 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least $900

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$63,237
N/A
N/A
$14,942
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least $1000

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$49,870
N/A
N/A
$12,224
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least $800

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$36,424
N/A
N/A
$9,838
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least $700

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27,167
N/A
N/A
$6,907
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least $600

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,439
N/A
N/A
$2,209
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least $400

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$10,093
N/A
N/A
$4,943
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least $500

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,202
N/A
N/A
$1,931
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

At least $1100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$28,217
N/A
N/A
$12,106
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

At least $1200

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,934
N/A
N/A
$7,429
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Valve Corporation will price a new Steam Machine at $800 or higher upon first official announcement. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—that the device will cost at least $800—stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the price Valve announces for the new Steam Machine, according to Kalshi's resolution source. Watch for Valve's official price announcement, expected around the January 2027 timeframe, which will directly settle this market.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the first price announced by Valve Corporation for a new Steam Machine before January 1, 2027. Nine separate price thresholds are tracked, ranging from $400 to $1200, with each threshold resolving to Yes if the announced price meets or exceeds that amount. Resolution is determined by the initial official price announcement, regardless of any subsequent price changes.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader conviction and aggregate dispersed information about Steam Machine pricing. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on small expert panels and published reports, prediction markets incentivize accuracy through financial stakes. Traders continuously update positions based on leaked specs, manufacturing announcements, and competitive pricing signals. This crowdsourced approach often captures emerging consensus faster than formal analyst revisions, though both sources remain valuable for triangulating realistic cost expectations.

The How much will the Steam Machine cost market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official announced retail price or launch cost of the Steam Machine at that time. Traders should monitor Valve announcements, press releases, and retail listings as the event approaches to anticipate final pricing. Any official communication regarding the machine's cost will be the basis for settlement, so staying informed on company statements is essential for managing positions.

Key catalysts include official Valve announcements regarding Steam Machine specifications, manufacturing costs, or pricing strategy. Competitor hardware launches and pricing decisions may influence market expectations. Supply chain developments, component cost fluctuations, and Valve's strategic positioning in the gaming hardware market could all shift trader sentiment. Media coverage, industry analyst commentary, and pre-order pricing leaks would likely trigger significant trading activity. Regulatory or tariff changes affecting hardware imports could also impact perceived production costs and final pricing expectations.