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How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?
polymarket

How much spending will DOGE cut in 2025?

Volume:
$2,655,222

<$50B

 - Polymarket

<$50B - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 20, 2026

Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$50B

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$376,678
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

>$250B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$749,255
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

$200-250B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$460,807
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

$50-100B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$393,959
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

$150-200B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$351,348
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

$100-150B

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$323,175
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This market will resolve based on federal government current expenditures as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND). This market will resolve to the amount federal government current expenditures decrease by between the Q4 2024 report and the Q4 2025 report. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The difference will be calculated as the Q4 2024 value minus the Q4 2025 value. The figures will be based on the initial Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used. The figures will be based on the Q4 2024 and Q4 2025 values as reported by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank as soon as the data for Q4 2025 becomes available, regardless of whether later revisions are made. This market's resolution source is the Federal Government: Current Expenditures chart maintained by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FGEXPND).