TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Economics
How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?
polymarket

How much revenue will the U.S. raise from tariffs in 2025?

Volume:
$9,343,862

<$100b

 - Polymarket

<$100b - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Feb 28, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<$100b

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,306,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$500b–1t

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,670,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$100–200b

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,736,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$200–500b

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,116,195
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$1–2t

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$812,350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$2t+

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$700,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of costumes duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.