TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 12:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The World Economic Forum's official account activity on a major social media platform will be tracked over a specific week. Analysts are interested in how often the organization shares content, including original posts, quoted material, and reposts. The count will exclude replies to other users' content.
If @wef posts, quote posts, and reposts on X below 15 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @wef posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 15-24 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @wef posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 25-34 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @wef posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 35-49 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @wef posts, quote posts, and reposts on X between 50-74 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. If @wef posts, quote posts, and reposts on X above 74 times (not including replies) from Aug 27, 2026 at 12:00PM ET through Sep 3, 2026 at 12:00PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. While analysts may publish research notes or projections, traders on Kalshi continuously adjust prices based on new information, sentiment, and betting patterns, which can diverge from or align with expert outlooks depending on recent events.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of World Economic Forum posts on X for the relevant week will determine the winning outcome, based on publicly available data at that time.
Key signals that could shift this market include official World Economic Forum announcements, surges in X engagement around WEF-related hashtags, major speeches or events during the week, and any controversy or media coverage linking the WEF to X activity. Traders will react to any data or news that changes expectations for how many posts will appear.