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How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?
kalshi

How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?

Volume:
$42,509

Above 250

 - Kalshi

Above 250 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 6:37 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 250

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,031
N/A
N/A
$838
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 220

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,637
N/A
N/A
$3,333
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 240

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,490
N/A
N/A
$1,489
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 230

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,259
N/A
N/A
$966
3mo 3d
Yes
kalshi

Above 325

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,630
N/A
N/A
$8,023
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Above 375

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,161
N/A
N/A
$2,567
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Above 350

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,077
N/A
N/A
$5,325
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Above 300

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,553
N/A
N/A
$2,968
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Above 275

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,641
N/A
N/A
$2,078
3mo 3d
No
kalshi

Above 400

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
$10
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 10

Description

The event tracks potential legislative action targeting Russia through new sanctions or asset seizures, focusing on the level of congressional support before a specific deadline. It examines whether proposed measures gain substantial backing in the House of Representatives, reflecting political will and strategic priorities.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the number of Representatives voting 'Yea' on any Russia sanctions bill passed before January 1, 2027, with specific thresholds defined for each market (above 250, 275, 300, 325, 350, 375, or 400 votes). The legislation must introduce new, material restrictive measures targeting Russia, such as new primary or secondary sanctions, seizure of Russian assets for Ukraine, or designating Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism. Routine re-authorizations or minor technical changes to existing programs are excluded. Votes must occur in the full chamber, not in Committee. If no qualifying vote occurs by the deadline, markets excluding 'zero' in their range resolve 'No,' and those including 'zero' resolve 'Yes.' If a bill passes without a specified vote count, markets including '100' (Senate) or '435' (House) resolve 'Yes,' while others resolve 'No.' After expiration, any subsequent changes to vote tallies or requests to alter votes are disregarded for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the latest odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for the Russia sanctions vote count market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different vote totals as the legislative process unfolds. The page updates in real time to reflect shifts in market sentiment and provides context for participants watching this political event.

Currently, this market’s implied probabilities diverge from many analyst forecasts. While some experts predict a narrow margin, traders are pricing a broader range of possible outcomes. This gap can highlight underappreciated risks or emerging dynamics not fully captured by traditional polling or commentary. Monitoring both this market and expert commentary helps identify where public expectations may shift before the final vote.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the official House vote count is reported by credible news outlets and government records. The final tally will settle all positions based on the exact number of votes recorded.

Key events such as committee votes, public statements from leading legislators, media coverage of voter sentiment, and unexpected political developments could shift this market. Any indication of changing alignments among representatives, or new amendments that alter the bill’s prospects, may cause rapid repricing. Traders will watch for these signals as they refine their outlooks leading toward Jan 1, 2027.