TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Politics
How many Truths will Trump delete in Aug 2026?
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How many Truths will Trump delete in Aug 2026?

Volume:
$8,755

At least 10

 - Kalshi

At least 10 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 9:24 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 10

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,291
N/A
N/A
$2,539
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,208
N/A
N/A
$1,188
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,294
N/A
N/A
$868
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$897
N/A
N/A
$753
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 25

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This market tracks the number of posts Donald Trump deletes from his Truth Social account during August 2026. It reflects public interest in his social media behavior and content management patterns over a specific month. Outcomes vary based on different deletion thresholds.

Kalshi

This market evaluates whether Donald Trump deletes a specified number of Truth Social posts during August 2026, with thresholds ranging from 5 to 25 deletions. All markets share the same qualifying period and post types: only posts created in August 2026 count, and they include Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths. The outcome for each market depends solely on whether the deletion count meets or exceeds its unique threshold—5, 10, 15, 20, or 25 posts. No other activities or timeframes influence resolution, and all secondary rules are consistent across markets.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Trump Truths deletion market dashboard displays the current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $284 for the Trump Truths deletion market. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different numbers of Truths being deleted by the specified date. The chart updates in real time to reflect trading activity and sentiment shifts specific to this political event.

Unlike traditional polling averages, which rely on voter self-reporting, this market uses real-money bets to reflect trader expectations about the number of Truths deleted. While polls may show public opinion trends, this market incorporates broader market sentiment, including insights from political analysts, news coverage, and potential strategic actions that could influence the outcome.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts for different possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about how many Truths will be deleted by the end date. Prices adjust continuously based on new information, trading volume of $8,755, and shifts in market sentiment toward the event.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact number of Truths deleted will be counted and verified against official records or widely accepted news sources, determining which contract holders are in the correct outcome category.