TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 9:24 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the number of posts Donald Trump deletes from his Truth Social account during August 2026. It reflects public interest in his social media behavior and content management patterns over a specific month. Outcomes vary based on different deletion thresholds.
This market evaluates whether Donald Trump deletes a specified number of Truth Social posts during August 2026, with thresholds ranging from 5 to 25 deletions. All markets share the same qualifying period and post types: only posts created in August 2026 count, and they include Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths. The outcome for each market depends solely on whether the deletion count meets or exceeds its unique threshold—5, 10, 15, 20, or 25 posts. No other activities or timeframes influence resolution, and all secondary rules are consistent across markets.
Unlike traditional polling averages, which rely on voter self-reporting, this market uses real-money bets to reflect trader expectations about the number of Truths deleted. While polls may show public opinion trends, this market incorporates broader market sentiment, including insights from political analysts, news coverage, and potential strategic actions that could influence the outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts for different possible outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective judgment of participants about how many Truths will be deleted by the end date. Prices adjust continuously based on new information, trading volume of $8,755, and shifts in market sentiment toward the event.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact number of Truths deleted will be counted and verified against official records or widely accepted news sources, determining which contract holders are in the correct outcome category.