TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 9:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of times Donald Trump visits his D.C. golf club during August 2026. Each visit is counted separately, regardless of duration, and includes any ongoing stay at the start or end of the month. The outcome depends on matching the exact visit count to the specified number.
The event resolves based on the exact number of visits Donald Trump makes to Trump National Golf Club Washington, D.C. during August 2026. A visit is defined as any period when Trump is physically present at the club, beginning upon arrival and ending upon departure. Importantly, if Trump is present at the club at the start of August, this counts as one visit, and if he remains there at the end of the month, this also counts as a single visit. Each distinct entry and exit counts as a separate visit, meaning multiple entries and exits throughout the month will be tallied individually. The market resolves to Yes for the specific market that matches the exact number of visits Trump makes during the specified month.
Currently, this market reflects trader expectations through its odds, which you can compare to analyst forecasts for similar political and scheduling events. While analysts may publish their own projections based on calendar patterns and past behavior, this market incorporates real-time betting data that can shift with new scheduling announcements or news coverage.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of Trump’s visits to his D.C. golf club in August 2026 is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be based on publicly documented visits, such as official schedules, media coverage, and statements from the Trump organization.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Official schedule releases, statements from Trump or his team about planned trips, and media reports covering his activities in August 2026 will all influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute changes to his calendar, travel delays, or public appearances could cause rapid price adjustments as participants reassess the likelihood of each outcome.