TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This tracks speculation around Donald Trump's potential travel plans to his Bedminster golf club during August 2026. Observers may be interested in understanding his schedule, preferences, or any events planned at the location during that month. The outcome depends entirely on the precise number of his visits.
Multiple markets resolve based on the exact number of trips Donald Trump makes to Trump National Golf Club Bedminster during August 2026. A trip is counted when Trump arrives at the club and ends when he departs. If he remains at the club as August concludes, that ongoing stay still counts as a visit. Any presence at the club at the start of August also counts as a visit. Each distinct arrival and subsequent departure constitutes a separate trip, and all such trips occurring within the calendar month determine which market resolves as 'Yes' according to the precise count of 1, 2, 3, or 4 trips.
Unlike traditional polling averages, which gather public opinion through surveys, this market uses trader activity to set its odds. While polls may indicate general public sentiment toward Trump's activities, this market incorporates broader factors including news coverage, scheduled events, and trader risk assessments, often showing a different perspective on likely visit frequency.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing the possible number of visits, with prices adjusting based on supply and demand. The current top outcome reflects the level of confidence in a specific visit count, influenced by recent news, Trump’s public schedule announcements, and overall market momentum around political activity.
This market resolves around Aug 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of verified visits Trump makes to Trump National Golf Club Bedminster during August 2026 is established through credible public reporting and official records. The exact count will be determined by publicly accessible schedules and news confirmations.
Market movement may be driven by Trump’s publicly announced travel plans, media coverage of his activities, major political events scheduled for August 2026, and any last-minute changes to his itinerary. Unexpected hospitalizations, security concerns, or competing priorities could also shift expectations and affect pricing in this market as the month approaches.