TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
polymarket

How many senators will vote for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Volume:
$35,234

50

 - Polymarket

50 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 8, 2026

Closed: Aug 8, 9:01 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

50

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,267
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

51

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,690
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

52

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

53

View
0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,216
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

58+

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,883
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

49

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

≤46

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,617
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

54

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

48

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

55

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$905
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

57

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$762
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

56

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$693
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

47

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$557
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the number of senators who vote “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Todd Blanche to be United States Attorney General by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The vote count refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the highest bracket. If the nomination is rejected by vote without a specified vote count, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No vote by December 31/Withdrawn”. Votes cast by the Vice President, if any, will not be considered for this market. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for the Todd Blanche Attorney General confirmation vote event. It displays the current probability that exactly 57 senators will vote in favor, along with 24-hour volume data and order-book depth. The interface lets you monitor how market sentiment shifts as new information emerges, including confirmation hearing developments, senator statements, and political dynamics. Historical charts show how odds have evolved since market inception, helping traders identify trends and volatility patterns around this high-stakes nomination.

The market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by the official final vote count recorded when the Senate votes on Todd Blanche's nomination for Attorney General. The outcome hinges on whether exactly 57 senators vote in favor, or whether the actual vote total differs. Senate floor procedures, last-minute amendments, absences, and party-line discipline all influence the final tally. Once the vote is officially recorded and certified, the market settles based on the confirmed result.

Key catalysts include confirmation hearing testimony and senator questioning, which can shift perceptions of Blanche's qualifications and judicial philosophy. Committee votes signal party alignment and potential defections. Public statements from swing-vote senators—especially moderates or those facing reelection pressure—often trigger sharp price moves. Opposition or support from major advocacy groups, media coverage of controversies, and last-minute negotiations can all influence the final vote count. Floor debate and procedural votes immediately before the final tally may also drive late volatility as traders adjust positions based on emerging floor dynamics.