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2,388,728,490

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406,065

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2,692

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How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/13-9/19)
kalshi

How many actions will Trump take this week?

Volume:
$135,825

At least 10

 - Kalshi

At least 10 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 20, 2026

Closed: Sep 20, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,537
N/A
N/A
$8,758
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 9

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25,406
N/A
N/A
$9,194
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 8

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,394
N/A
N/A
$7,600
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 7

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,414
N/A
N/A
$5,508
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 6

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,364
N/A
N/A
$8,145
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 5

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,280
N/A
N/A
$6,869
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 2

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,284
N/A
N/A
$5,697
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 4

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,544
N/A
N/A
$5,494
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,034
N/A
N/A
$5,182
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,157
N/A
N/A
$3,155
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,410
N/A
N/A
$4,590
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the number of official actions taken by a political figure during a specific week. Each action is recorded on an official government website, and the outcome depends solely on whether the count meets or exceeds a predetermined threshold by a set deadline.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of presidential actions published on the "Presidential Actions" page of whitehouse.gov during the week of September 13, 2026, through September 19, 2026, as verified at 10:00 AM ET on September 20, 2026. Actions include proclamations, executive orders, nominations, appointments, and memoranda. The resolution depends exclusively on the visible publication dates listed on the page, regardless of the legal impact of the actions. Any item published within the specified timeframe counts toward the total, while items emailed but not published, backdated entries, or actions listed outside the "Presidential Actions" tab do not count. The market outcome is determined by whether the total number of qualifying actions meets or exceeds the specified threshold for each respective market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Trump presidential actions market tracks the current odds of various outcomes for the number of actions taken by former President Trump during the specified week. You'll find a price history showing how those odds have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $244. The overall volume for this market is $135,825. This allows participants to monitor market sentiment and activity related to this prediction.

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. Polling relies on stated intentions, while this market represents what people are willing to put their money on. Discrepancies can arise due to factors like strategic voting, information asymmetry, and the inherent biases present in both polling and prediction markets. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than polls, as traders react quickly to events and news related to the former President’s activities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the potential number of presidential actions.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the number of official presidential actions taken by former President Trump between September 13th and September 19th is verifiable from credible public reporting. An official presidential action includes executive orders, proclamations, memoranda, and any other formal declarations issued by the former President during this timeframe. The final count will be determined based on publicly available records and reporting from established news sources.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any unexpected public statements or announcements from former President Trump regarding his activities or intentions would likely impact trading. Major news events or political developments that could influence his decision-making process could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, the release of any relevant data or reports related to his public engagements or policy positions could trigger increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market.