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How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)
kalshi

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/16-8/22)

Volume:
$33,096

At least 2

 - Kalshi

At least 2 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 2

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,121
N/A
N/A
$2,576
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 1

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,131
N/A
N/A
$3,062
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,684
N/A
N/A
$3,293
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 5

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,447
N/A
N/A
$3,113
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 10

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,946
N/A
N/A
$2,166
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 4

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,422
N/A
N/A
$1,797
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 7

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,242
N/A
N/A
$2,180
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 9

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
$1,926
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 15

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,085
N/A
N/A
$1,400
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 8

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,304
N/A
N/A
$1,252
Settled
No
kalshi

At least 6

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$620
N/A
N/A
$619
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event tracks the number of official presidential actions taken by Donald Trump during a specific week in 2026. It focuses on publicly listed actions such as executive orders, proclamations, and appointments, providing a clear measure of administrative activity over that period.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of presidential actions published on the "Presidential Actions" page of whitehouse.gov during the week of August 16—22, 2026, as verified at 10:00 AM ET on August 23, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of actions (ranging from 1 to 15), and the outcome depends on whether the counted actions meet or exceed that threshold. Actions include executive orders, proclamations, nominations, appointments, and memoranda, provided they are visibly listed on the specified page. The resolution strictly considers publication dates displayed on the page, disregarding the actual signing or enactment dates. Items not published on the "Presidential Actions" tab by the deadline—such as those emailed but not uploaded, backdated entries, or actions listed elsewhere—do not count. The thresholds progressively increase, allowing participants to bet on various levels of activity, with the highest market requiring at least fifteen actions to resolve positively.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Trump weekly actions market, alongside 24-hour volume of $7,484. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different numbers of presidential actions taken during the specified week. The interface updates continuously to reflect the latest betting activity and market sentiment, giving users a clear view of where the market stands at any moment.

While polling averages offer one view of public expectation, this market lets traders bet on the actual count of presidential actions, incorporating factors beyond voter sentiment such as scheduling, political strategy, and breaking news. Prediction market odds often react faster to new information than traditional polls, potentially showing sharper shifts when events or statements hint at an increase or decrease in activity. The two can diverge when market participants weigh different variables than pollsters.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for each possible outcome. The current top trading chance displayed reflects the most recent matched trade price. Market depth and liquidity around each outcome level determine how easily large positions can be entered or exited.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of presidential actions taken during the specified week determines which outcome is settled, based on publicly recorded executive orders, proclamations, and other official actions.

Any announcement affecting the president's schedule—such as major policy pushes, international summits, domestic emergencies, or political controversies—could shift this market sharply. Media reports about upcoming travel, legislative agendas, or health updates may also influence trader expectations. As Aug 23, 2026 approaches, the focus will narrow to verified daily news sources that confirm each action taken, with surprise events potentially causing rapid price swings in either direction.