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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/8-8/14)
kalshi

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/8-8/14)

Volume:
$63,500

At least 50

 - Kalshi

At least 50 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 15, 2026

Closed: Aug 15, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 50

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$42,867
N/A
N/A
$33,808
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,900
N/A
N/A
$3,938
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,809
N/A
N/A
$2,443
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,979
N/A
N/A
$1,866
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,683
N/A
N/A
$1,441
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,298
N/A
N/A
$906
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$965
N/A
N/A
$799
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the number of explicit endorsements Donald Trump makes for political candidates on his Truth Social platform within a specific week. It focuses on clear, direct statements of support rather than implied or indirect references. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of endorsements during that period.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Donald Trump issues a specified number of clear, affirmative endorsements for political candidates on Truth Social between August 8, 2026, and August 14, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different threshold—ranging from three to fifty endorsements—and resolves to 'Yes' if Trump meets or exceeds that threshold. Endorsements must be explicit statements of support, such as declarations like 'I endorse [candidate]' or 'Vote for [candidate],' and can include reaffirmations of prior endorsements or conditional support. Ambiguous statements, graphic posts merely stating that someone was endorsed, or indirect references do not count. Each individual candidate can only be counted once per week, regardless of how many times they are endorsed. The resolution hinges solely on the total number of valid endorsements Trump publishes within the defined timeframe, with higher-threshold markets requiring correspondingly larger numbers of such endorsements to settle in the 'Yes' position.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $23,787 for the Trump Truth Social endorsements market. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of different endorsement counts this week. The view reflects only Kalshi’s activity, with volume totaling $63,500 so far.

Unlike traditional polls, this market lets traders bet on the exact number of endorsements Trump will make on Truth Social this week. Prediction market odds capture market sentiment and can diverge from polling averages because they incorporate real-money incentives and may react faster to breaking news or strategic cues from the campaign.

On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects what participants believe about the likelihood of various endorsement counts this week. Volume of $63,500 shows overall interest, while the top outcome displayed gives the most probable scenario according to market participants. Traders adjust positions based on new information, shifting the probability percentages continuously.

This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The exact count of endorsements made on Truth Social during the specified week determines the result, based on publicly available records from the platform and reputable news sources.