TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of explicit endorsements Donald Trump makes for political candidates on his Truth Social platform within a specified week. It focuses on clear, direct statements of support rather than implied or indirect references. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of endorsements during that period.
The event evaluates whether Donald Trump issues a specified number of formal endorsements for political candidates on his Truth Social platform between August 22, 2026, and August 28, 2026. An endorsement is defined as any clear, affirmative statement of support, which includes direct declarations such as "I endorse [candidate] for [office]" or "Vote for [candidate]." Reaffirmations of prior endorsements and conditional endorsements count toward the total, provided they are unambiguous. Each individual candidate can only be counted once per week, regardless of how many times Trump endorses them. Statements that merely report prior endorsements—such as posting a graphic stating "[Candidate] wins" without an active endorsement—do not qualify. The market resolves to "Yes" if Trump meets or exceeds the threshold specified in any individual market rule, which ranges from three to fifty endorsements. The rules ensure that only explicit, direct expressions of support are considered, maintaining consistency across all thresholds.
This market resolves around Aug 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count of endorsements posted on Truth Social between the specified dates will determine the result, closing the market once the week ends and data is finalized.
Key signals include official statements from Trump or his team, unexpected policy announcements, major news events, and changes in social media engagement metrics. Any surge in Truth Social activity around endorsements, or contrary reports that downplay the likelihood of multiple endorsements, could shift trader sentiment and move this market before Aug 29, 2026.