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How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)
kalshi

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (8/15-8/21)

Volume:
$30,955

At least 25

 - Kalshi

At least 25 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 22, 2026

Closed: Aug 22, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

At least 25

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,165
N/A
N/A
$4,504
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 10

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,682
N/A
N/A
$4,043
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 20

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,494
N/A
N/A
$2,448
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,191
N/A
N/A
$1,627
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 15

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,954
N/A
N/A
$1,257
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 3

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,337
N/A
N/A
$1,336
Settled
Yes
kalshi

At least 50

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,131
N/A
N/A
$2,118
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks the number of explicit endorsements Donald Trump makes for political candidates on his Truth Social platform during a specific week. It focuses on clear, direct statements of support rather than implied or indirect references. The outcome depends on whether he reaches certain thresholds of endorsements within that timeframe.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Donald Trump issues a specified number of clear, affirmative endorsements for political candidates on his Truth Social platform between 10AM ET August 15, 2026, and August 21, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different endorsement threshold (3, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, or 50). An endorsement qualifies if Trump makes a direct, unambiguous statement of support—such as declaring "I endorse [candidate] for [office]," "I support [candidate]," "Vote for [candidate]," or "[candidate] has my full support"—and references a specific election. Reaffirmations of prior endorsements and conditional endorsements count, but a candidate cannot be counted more than once per week. Statements that merely report prior endorsements (e.g., graphics stating "[Candidate] wins" because they were endorsed) do not qualify. The market resolves to "Yes" if the specified number of valid endorsements is met; otherwise, it resolves to "No."

Frequently asked questions

Unlike traditional polling averages, which rely on voter self-reporting, this market uses real-money bets to reflect trader confidence in the exact count of Trump endorsements. While polls might gauge general approval, this market hones in on a specific, verifiable action — the number of endorsements made within a defined timeframe. Traders may price in factors beyond public sentiment, such as media narratives or strategic timing, which can cause this market to diverge from broader polling trends.

This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the exact number of endorsements Trump posts on Truth Social between the specified dates is verifiable from credible public reporting. The count will be tallied based on publicly available posts, and the market will settle accordingly — regardless of news cycles or subsequent interpretations — once the data is beyond reasonable dispute.

Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major news events, such as political rallies, media interviews, or surprise policy announcements, may influence Trump’s decision to endorse more or fewer figures. Additionally, technical glitches or platform outages on Truth Social could delay posting activity, causing traders to adjust their positions. Any shift in political momentum or strategic alliances within Trump’s circle may also impact expectations and move prices rapidly in the final days.