TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Attention will be on how many individuals Donald Trump formally endorses on Truth Social during the same week. The threshold for endorsement counts will determine the outcome.
The market resolves based on the number of formal endorsements Donald Trump makes on Truth Social for election candidates from July 26, 2026, to August 1, 2026. Endorsements must be clear, affirmative statements of support, including reaffirmations and conditional endorsements, but not ambiguous statements or graphics merely stating prior endorsements. Each endorsed individual can only be counted once per week. Markets resolve to Yes if the total number of endorsements meets or exceeds the specified threshold for each market.
While public polling focuses on voter preferences and broader political sentiment, this market centers on a very specific action — the number of endorsements Trump issues on Truth Social this week. Prediction market odds reflect traders’ assessments of Trump’s likely behavior and communication strategy, influenced by recent events, political momentum, and media narratives. Unlike polls, this market reacts instantly to breaking news and perceived shifts in strategy from the Trump camp.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the exact number of endorsements Trump publishes on Truth Social between the specified dates is verifiable from credible public reporting. The count will be determined by reviewing official Truth Social posts and reputable news coverage of Trump’s activity during that week.
Key events such as Trump’s upcoming rallies, media interviews, or major political developments could influence expectations for his Truth Social activity and shift this market. Positive polling trends or controversy surrounding rivals might encourage more frequent endorsements, while legal issues or scheduling changes could reduce activity. Any indication of a planned communication blitz or quiet week from Trump’s team would also impact trader sentiment and market prices.